A rational conversation on where AI is actually going | Benedict Evans

0:00My most controversial opinion is that I think that AI is as big a deal as the internet or mobile, and only as big a deal as the internet or mobile.

0:07But you're just on the coming job poplips.

0:09Every time we have a new technology, it automates away a bunch of jobs, and then that automation unlocks a bunch of new jobs.

0:14And you don't know the new job because it doesn't exist yet.

0:15We've had that process over and over again.

0:17Even just looking at the most advanced AI companies throughout Big Open AI, everyone's increasing headcount.

0:23You talk to these doomers on Twitter, and they would act like every big company is going to buy ChatGPT tomorrow, and then in two weeks' time, they'll fire all their stuff.

0:30These people are morons.

0:31You can't predict which things are going to be exposed.

0:34You can't look at a senior partner at a law firm and say, well, 17% of their work could be automated.

0:39This is horseshit.

0:40I'm curious if you're following the anti-AI sentiment.

0:43It's a big, fuzzy mass.

0:44Yes, this will change a bunch of stuff and we'll need to worry about it, but that's kind of a constant.

0:49We've always had that.

0:50What would be a couple of things you recommend people do to be more successful in this future?

0:56Don't stick your head in the sand and say, I hate all of this stuff.

0:59That gives you a great feeling of moral superiority and you can go on Blue Sky and shout at everybody about how evil AI is.