Nate Silver Predicts: Democrats Take the House, Newsom Is Fading & AOC Might Win It All in 2028

Jun 29, 2026 · 1h 1m · YouTube

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0:00Partisanship is the gravity that dictates every election in the U.S., right?
0:06Like my job, don't worry, I will get criticized if we say, oh, whatever, Gavin Newsome or AOC is a 55% favorite and they lose.
0:15But 43 of the 50 states, David, we could probably predict right now with 97% confidence who they'll vote for in 2028.
0:23And it's not because of rigging, it's because polarization and partisanship are very powerful forces that we can't seem to escape from.
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